Xelaju MC 2-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
16%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.56
Over 2.5
54%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
53%
+9.4pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
16%
Away Win
20%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
60%
-14.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
40%
+14.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
2.25/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.40
+41% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mixco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-2 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
10.08.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
10.04.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
05.02.2025 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.12.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
29.11.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC nicked a narrow win over Mixco 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Xelaju MC 2-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 63%, draw 21%, Mixco 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
23 Feb 2026
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