Xelaju MC 1-2 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
15%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
53%
+8.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
15%
Away Win
20%
-4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 23%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
2.20/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.10
+35% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mixco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
10.04.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
05.02.2025 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.12.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
29.11.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
25.11.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-2 HT 1-2 Mixco Mixco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
1-2
AWAY Mixco
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco nicked a narrow win over Xelaju MC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Xelaju MC at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 68% of the ball to Mixco's 32%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Xelaju MC 1-2 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 62%, draw 23%, Mixco 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Xelaju MC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
18 Oct 2025
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