Xelaju MC 1-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.48
Over 2.5
52%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.6
No
55%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
64%
-15.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
36%
+15.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
66%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.87/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.55
+4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mixco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
25.11.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-2 HT 1-2 Mixco Mixco GUAT
12.09.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
22.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
27.11.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
14.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC edged past Mixco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.67 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Xelaju MC 1-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 58%, draw 26%, Mixco 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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