Xelaju MC 3-2 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.74/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.48
+7% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mixco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
22.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
27.11.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
14.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
11.05.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
23.03.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC nicked a narrow win over Mixco 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.33 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Xelaju MC 3-2 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 52%, draw 27%, Mixco 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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