Zacapa Tellioz 1-2 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.88/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.54
-22% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
190 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Antigua GFC
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 2-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
04.03.2024 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
04.02.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
27.09.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 3-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
20.08.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC nicked a narrow win over Zacapa Tellioz 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Zacapa Tellioz and 1.40 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Antigua GFC?

Zacapa Tellioz 1-2 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 32%, draw 23%, Antigua GFC 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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