Achuapa 1-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.96
No
65%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
47%
-11.5pp
65%
BTTS No
53%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -18%
1.13/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.87
-9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
334 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Municipal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.08.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 3-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
29.01.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
28.09.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
07.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
09.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 5-1 HT 2-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-1
AWAY Municipal
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa and Municipal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Achuapa had 52% of the ball to Municipal's 48%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Achuapa and 2.67 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Municipal?

Achuapa 1-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 33%, draw 24%, Municipal 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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