Municipal 3-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.4pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.86/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.63
+8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
29.01.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
28.09.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
07.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
09.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 5-1 HT 2-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
16.02.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal ran out comfortable winners over Achuapa 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Municipal and 1.33 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Achuapa?

Municipal 3-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Municipal 52%, draw 25%, Achuapa 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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