Municipal vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals
Municipal vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Achuapa
GUAT
2-2
HT 1-2
Municipal
GUAT
5-1
HT 2-1
Achuapa
GUAT
0-1
HT 0-0
Municipal
GUAT
1-1
HT 0-1
Achuapa
GUAT
Municipal 4-1 Achuapa — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal ran out comfortable winners over Achuapa 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Municipal had 47% of the ball to Achuapa's 53%, shots finished 11-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Municipal and 1.33 for Achuapa.
What was the final score of Municipal vs Achuapa?
Municipal 4-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal vs Achuapa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Municipal 59%, draw 20%, Achuapa 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.