Zacapa Tellioz 2-2 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
24%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
32%
-7.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 36%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
0.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.14
-22% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
181 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 6-0 HT 3-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
10.12.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
07.12.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 1-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
11.09.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 2-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.08.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-1 HT 0-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zacapa Tellioz and Guastatoya couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zacapa Tellioz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zacapa Tellioz and 2.20 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Guastatoya?

Zacapa Tellioz 2-2 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 44%, draw 32%, Guastatoya 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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