Achuapa 2-0 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Jan 2024

Achuapa
2-0 HT 2-0
Municipal
📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Achuapa vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Achuapa v Municipal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.08/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.73
-16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5

Achuapa vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Municipal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
07.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
09.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 5-1 HT 2-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
16.02.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.10.2022 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
31.07.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT

Achuapa 2-0 Municipal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
2-0
AWAY Municipal
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa beat Municipal 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Achuapa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Achuapa had 39% of the ball to Municipal's 61%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Achuapa and 1.83 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Municipal?

Achuapa 2-0 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 34%, draw 27%, Municipal 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Municipal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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29 Jan 2024
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