Xinabajul 2-1 Coatepeque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Coatepeque EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.41/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.48
-14% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Coatepeque
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Coatepeque 4-1 HT 3-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
07.08.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-2 HT 2-1 Coatepeque GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Coatepeque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul edged past Coatepeque 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xinabajul as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Coatepeque led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Xinabajul and 3.00 for Coatepeque.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Coatepeque?

Xinabajul 2-1 Coatepeque in the Guatemala - National League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Coatepeque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 52%, draw 21%, Coatepeque 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
29 Jan 2024
00:00 Achuapa vs Municipal Analysis →