Malacateco 4-0 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.83/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.99
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marquense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
4-0
AWAY Marquense
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco ran out comfortable winners over Marquense 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Malacateco had 67% of the ball to Marquense's 33%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Marquense?

Malacateco 4-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 53%, draw 28%, Marquense 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
25 Nov 2024
00:00 Zacapa Tellioz vs Antigua GFC Analysis →
00:00 Guastatoya vs Coban Imperial Analysis →
00:00 Xelaju MC vs Mixco Analysis →
00:00 Xinabajul vs CSD Comunicaciones Analysis →
00:00 Achuapa vs Municipal Analysis →