Antigua GFC 1-0 Zacapa Tellioz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.6pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.2pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.11/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.08
+19% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 3-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
20.08.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Zacapa Tellioz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC nicked a narrow win over Zacapa Tellioz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.50 for Zacapa Tellioz.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Antigua GFC 1-0 Zacapa Tellioz in the Guatemala - National League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 49%, draw 33%, Zacapa Tellioz 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
4 Feb 2024
00:00 Municipal vs Mixco Analysis →
20:00 Coban Imperial vs Xelaju MC Analysis →