Municipal 0-3 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.78/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.54
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mixco
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-3 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.08.2023 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 3-1 HT 2-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
05.02.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 1-2 Mixco Mixco GUAT
13.11.2022 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
01.09.2022 Mixco Mixco 1-4 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco cruised past Municipal 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Municipal and 1.17 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Mixco?

Municipal 0-3 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Municipal 52%, draw 27%, Mixco 21%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Municipal), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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