Coban Imperial 3-0 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.57/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.17
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coban Imperial
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
19.08.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
20.04.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
23.02.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 0-1 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
04.12.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.12.2022 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
POST-MATCH Coban Imperial vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coban Imperial swept aside Xelaju MC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coban Imperial as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Coban Imperial and 0.50 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Coban Imperial vs Xelaju MC?

Coban Imperial 3-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coban Imperial vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coban Imperial win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Coban Imperial 49%, draw 26%, Xelaju MC 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coban Imperial), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coban Imperial) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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