Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.15/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.17
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.02.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
27.09.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 3-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
20.08.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC edged past Zacapa Tellioz 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Antigua GFC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zacapa Tellioz and 1.00 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Antigua GFC?

Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 39%, draw 29%, Antigua GFC 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
4 Mar 2024
02:00 Xinabajul vs Malacateco Analysis →