Xinabajul vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Xinabajul v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals
Xinabajul vs Malacateco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Malacateco
GUAT
3-1
HT 1-1
Xinabajul
GUAT
3-0
HT 3-0
Xinabajul
GUAT
1-1
HT 0-0
Malacateco
GUAT
2-1
HT 0-0
Xinabajul
GUAT
Xinabajul beat Malacateco 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xinabajul as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xinabajul and 1.83 for Malacateco.
What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Malacateco?
Xinabajul 3-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Malacateco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 45%, draw 23%, Malacateco 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.