Xelaju MC 1-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Apr 2024

Xelaju MC
1-0 HT 1-0
Mixco
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Xelaju MC vs Mixco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
65%
-16.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Xelaju MC v Mixco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.77/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.44
-1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5

Xelaju MC vs Mixco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Mixco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
14.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
11.05.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
23.03.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.02.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
30.10.2022 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC nicked a narrow win over Mixco 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.33 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Xelaju MC 1-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 48%, draw 26%, Mixco 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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