Coban Imperial 3-3 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.25/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.34
-14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coban Imperial
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guastatoya
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
01.04.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
06.02.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
13.11.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
01.09.2022 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-0 HT 1-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
06.03.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coban Imperial and Guastatoya shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Coban Imperial at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Coban Imperial and 0.67 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya?

Coban Imperial 3-3 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coban Imperial vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coban Imperial win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Coban Imperial 45%, draw 31%, Guastatoya 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coban Imperial), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coban Imperial) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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