Malacateco 2-1 Zacapa Tellioz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.94/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.77
+9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
27.11.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 4-0 HT 3-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Zacapa Tellioz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco edged past Zacapa Tellioz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Malacateco 2-1 Zacapa Tellioz in the Guatemala - National League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 55%, draw 25%, Zacapa Tellioz 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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