Xinabajul 2-0 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.33/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.36
+2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 5
27.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
07.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-3 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
06.03.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
13.11.2022 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 2-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
01.09.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul saw off Antigua GFC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xinabajul as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Xinabajul had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Xinabajul and 1.60 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC?

Xinabajul 2-0 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 43%, draw 27%, Antigua GFC 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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