Mixco 1-0 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.6pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.1pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.31/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.89
+3% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
27.11.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
14.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
11.05.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
23.03.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.02.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
1-0
AWAY Xelaju MC
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco nicked a narrow win over Xelaju MC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mixco had 47% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 53%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Mixco and 0.67 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Xelaju MC?

Mixco 1-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mixco 42%, draw 35%, Xelaju MC 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
12 Sep 2024
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