Aktobe 1-0 Kaspyi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 12 Apr 2026

Aktobe
1-0 HT 1-0
Kaspyi
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Aktobe vs Kaspyi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.5pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aktobe v Kaspyi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaspyi EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.07
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Aktobe vs Kaspyi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kaspyi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
30.07.2023 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-2 HT 2-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
21.05.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
08.10.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 4-0 HT 2-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
08.05.2022 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
30.10.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 1-5 HT 0-2 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
14.03.2021 Kaspyi Kaspyi 1-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Kaspyi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe nicked a narrow win over Kaspyi 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaspyi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aktobe and 1.67 for Kaspyi.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Kaspyi?

Aktobe 1-0 Kaspyi in the Kazakistan - Super League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Kaspyi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 58%, draw 18%, Kaspyi 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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