Okzhetpes 2-1 Irtysh Pavlodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.75
Over 2.5
58%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
53%
-11.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
47%
+11.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.2pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.36/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.59
+79% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
21.09.2019 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-0 HT 0-0 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
11.04.2015 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 3-1 HT 2-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Irtysh Pavlodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes edged past Irtysh Pavlodar 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Okzhetpes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Okzhetpes and 1.50 for Irtysh Pavlodar.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Okzhetpes 2-1 Irtysh Pavlodar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Okzhetpes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 41%, draw 24%, Irtysh Pavlodar 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Okzhetpes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Okzhetpes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
12 Apr 2026
13:00 Altay vs Ulytau Analysis →
15:00 Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhenys Analysis →
17:00 Aktobe vs Kaspyi Analysis →