Moss 1-0 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

Moss
1-0 HT 1-0
Hodd
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 24% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.2pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.74/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.08
-2% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hodd
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
20.09.2025 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
18.06.2025 Moss Moss 3-1 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
01.10.2023 Moss Moss 3-0 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
13.05.2023 Hodd Hodd 1-1 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
06.11.2021 Moss Moss 1-3 HT 1-2 Hodd Hodd NOR3
17.07.2021 Hodd Hodd 1-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR3
POST-MATCH Moss vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss edged past Hodd 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Moss and 1.33 for Hodd.

What was the final score of Moss vs Hodd?

Moss 1-0 Hodd in the Norway - 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Moss 51%, draw 26%, Hodd 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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