Hönefoss BK 2-1 Rana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.35
2-3 Goals
40%
2.09
4-5 Goals
27%
2.36
6+ Goals
11%
4.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.1pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Rana EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.07/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.96
-7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hönefoss BK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2025 Rana Rana 1-0 HT 1-0 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR3
21.06.2025 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 4-2 HT 2-2 Rana Rana NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hönefoss BK
2-1
AWAY Rana
81% Ball Possession 19%
1 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Rana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK squeezed past Rana 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hönefoss BK had 81% of the ball to Rana's 19%, shots finished 1-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hönefoss BK and 1.50 for Rana.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Rana?

Hönefoss BK 2-1 Rana in the Norway - 2nd Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Rana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 59%, draw 20%, Rana 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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