Rana 1-0 Hönefoss BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.32
2-3 Goals
35%
2.09
4-5 Goals
34%
2.36
6+ Goals
12%
4.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.1pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 42%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.32/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.96
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hönefoss BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2025 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 4-2 HT 2-2 Rana Rana NOR3
POST-MATCH Rana vs Hönefoss BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rana nicked a narrow win over Hönefoss BK 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rana as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rana vs Hönefoss BK?

Rana 1-0 Hönefoss BK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rana vs Hönefoss BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rana 42%, draw 23%, Hönefoss BK 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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