21/09/2025
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Rana vs Hönefoss BK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
23%
Draw
23%
35%
Away Win
38%
36%
Under 2.5
30%
64%
Over 2.5
70%
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
37%
BTTS No
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rana v Hönefoss BK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rana
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hönefoss BK
EU Bookmakers 42%
+34% /
+34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
1.32/0.33
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.49/2.96
-26%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-49%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
5
328 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
362 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
Rana vs Hönefoss BK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Rana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Hönefoss BK
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
40%
Ball Possession
60%
10
Total Shots
26
3
Shots on Target
9
2
Corners
7
4
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Rana vs Hönefoss BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rana nicked a narrow win over Hönefoss BK 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rana as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Rana vs Hönefoss BK?
Rana 1-0 Hönefoss BK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rana vs Hönefoss BK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rana 42%, draw 23%, Hönefoss BK 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Rana)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
21 Sep 2025