Vard Haugesund 2-1 Eik Toensberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Eik Toensberg EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.58/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Eik Toensberg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Eik Toensberg Eik Toensberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
25.08.2024 Eik Toensberg Eik Toensberg 1-1 HT 1-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
01.06.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-0 Eik Toensberg Eik Toensberg NOR3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Eik Toensberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund edged past Eik Toensberg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vard Haugesund as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eik Toensberg led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vard Haugesund and 1.00 for Eik Toensberg.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Eik Toensberg?

Vard Haugesund 2-1 Eik Toensberg in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Eik Toensberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 44%, draw 24%, Eik Toensberg 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vard Haugesund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vard Haugesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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