Follo 2-1 Tromsdalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
58%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.12
2-3 Goals
45%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.52
6+ Goals
9%
5.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.9pp
58%
Away Win
53%
+5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Follo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.64/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.55
+30% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Follo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tromsdalen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
03.05.2025 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 2-1 HT 0-1 Follo Follo NOR3
14.09.2024 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 8-0 HT 1-0 Follo Follo NOR3
02.06.2024 Follo Follo 3-1 HT 3-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
24.10.2010 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 0-2 HT 0-0 Follo Follo NOR1
09.05.2010 Follo Follo 4-0 HT 1-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
21.05.2006 Follo Follo 1-2 HT 1-1 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Follo
2-1
AWAY Tromsdalen
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Follo vs Tromsdalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Follo squeezed past Tromsdalen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Tromsdalen carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Follo had 51% of the ball to Tromsdalen's 49%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Follo and 2.17 for Tromsdalen.

What was the final score of Follo vs Tromsdalen?

Follo 2-1 Tromsdalen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Follo vs Tromsdalen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsdalen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Follo 24%, draw 18%, Tromsdalen 58%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tromsdalen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tromsdalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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