Sarpsborg 08 II 2-3 Sandefjord II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.28
No
38%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.3pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
74%
-12.2pp
38%
BTTS No
26%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord II EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.95/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/3.35
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
2-3
AWAY Sandefjord II
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Sandefjord II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord II squeezed past Sarpsborg 08 II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 48% of the ball to Sandefjord II's 52%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Sandefjord II?

Sarpsborg 08 II 2-3 Sandefjord II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Sandefjord II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 47%, draw 18%, Sandefjord II 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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