Spjelkavik 1-3 Herd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2026

Spjelkavik
1-3 HT 0-0
Herd
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2026

Spjelkavik vs Herd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.27
Draw
12%
5.71
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
74%
-6.7pp
12%
Draw
15%
-2.8pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spjelkavik v Herd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spjelkavik EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Herd EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Spjelkavik vs Herd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herd saw off Spjelkavik 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Spjelkavik carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Spjelkavik vs Herd?

Spjelkavik 1-3 Herd in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spjelkavik vs Herd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spjelkavik win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Spjelkavik 68%, draw 12%, Herd 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spjelkavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spjelkavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
12 Apr 2026
15:00 Brann II vs Djerv Analysis →
15:00 Odds BK II vs Mandalskameratene Analysis →
15:00 Haugesund II vs Staal Jorpeland Analysis →
15:00 Skjetten vs Stromsgodset II Analysis →
15:00 Sarpsborg 08 II vs Sandefjord II Analysis →
16:00 Flekkeroy vs Viking Stavanger II Analysis →