Benfica U23 2-1 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.85/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.78
+4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
31.01.2026 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 2-5 HT 0-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
2-1
AWAY Leixoes U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 nicked a narrow win over Leixoes U23 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 50% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 50%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Benfica U23 2-1 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 54%, draw 23%, Leixoes U23 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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