Van Spor FK 0-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 24%
-78% / -78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
0.72/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.52
-100% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
32.0 Crosses 15.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Van Spor FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.75 xG 2.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
288 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Van Spor FK
0-1
AWAY Manisa FK
2.05 xG 0.16
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
478 Passes 131
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
45 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Van Spor FK vs Manisa FK
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Manisa FK edged past Van Spor FK 1-0 away from home in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Van Spor FK had 73% of the ball to Manisa FK's 27%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 2.05 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs Manisa FK?

Van Spor FK 0-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 58%, draw 22%, Manisa FK 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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