Manisa FK 2-1 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.85
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
4%
13.15
X/1
19%
5.87
X/2
12%
5.7
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
14%
3.67
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.36/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.47
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
15.6 Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
2-1
AWAY Van Spor FK
2.79 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
313 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK squeezed past Van Spor FK 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manisa FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manisa FK had 52% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 48%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 2.79 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manisa FK's control.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Van Spor FK?

Manisa FK 2-1 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 42%, draw 23%, Van Spor FK 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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