Boluspor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2025

Boluspor
2-0 HT 1-0
Erzurumspor FK
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.61
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
13%
6.29
X/2
11%
5.1
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
20%
3.34
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boluspor v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.35/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.12
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
15.4 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 0.94
57% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
367 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2025 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
04.10.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
25.02.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
01.10.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
25.12.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
16.04.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L

Boluspor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
2-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.77 xG 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
309 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor got the better of Erzurumspor FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Boluspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boluspor had 52% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 48%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.77 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boluspor and 0.83 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Boluspor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 35%, draw 25%, Erzurumspor FK 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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