İstanbulspor 2-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.39
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.29
X/2
16%
6.28
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.42
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.46/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.46
+32% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.2 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.91 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
23.12.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
13.03.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
11.09.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
2-1
AWAY Sivasspor
1.10 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
317 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor squeezed past Sivasspor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day İstanbulspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 49% of the ball to Sivasspor's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.10 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.25 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor?

İstanbulspor 2-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 38%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
7 Dec 2025
13:30 Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK Analysis →
13:30 Iğdır FK vs Adana Demirspor Analysis →
16:00 Manisa FK vs Van Spor FK Analysis →