İstanbulspor 1-3 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 May 2024

İstanbulspor
1-3 HT 0-2
Sivasspor
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 29% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.29/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.10
-13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.1 Crosses 24.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.66 xG 1.18
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
286 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
13.03.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
11.09.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL

İstanbulspor 1-3 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-3
AWAY Sivasspor
1.66 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
375 Passes 339
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor got the better of İstanbulspor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Sivasspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 51% of the ball to Sivasspor's 49%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.66 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İstanbulspor and 0.67 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor?

İstanbulspor 1-3 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 35%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
17 May 2024
20:00 Antalyaspor vs Adana Demirspor Analysis →