Antalyaspor 2-1 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.74
Over 2.5
47%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.39
No
53%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
33%
+20.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
67%
-20.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.3pp
53%
BTTS No
32%
+20.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.59
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.3 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 Passes 358
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
18.03.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
17.09.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-3 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
25.02.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
01.10.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
01.06.2015 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TP1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-1
AWAY Adana Demirspor
0.49 xG 2.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
424 Passes 377
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor squeezed past Adana Demirspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antalyaspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 52% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 48%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.49 to 2.51 — on chances, Adana Demirspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.83 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Antalyaspor 2-1 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 47%, draw 26%, Adana Demirspor 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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