Buriram United 2-0 Ayutthaya United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

Buriram United
2-0 HT 1-0
Ayutthaya United
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Buriram United vs Ayutthaya United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
77%
-1.9pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.0pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buriram United v Ayutthaya United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.24/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.66
+43% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +40%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.6 Crosses 12.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 4.1

Buriram United vs Ayutthaya United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ayutthaya United
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.58 xG 0.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
489 Passes 297
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 1-4 HT 0-3 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
27.07.2025 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 0-3 HT 0-2 Buriram United Buriram United HAZ

Buriram United 2-0 Ayutthaya United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
2-0
AWAY Ayutthaya United
4.03 xG 0.81
73% Ball Possession 27%
33 Total Shots 3
16 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
460 Passes 131
92% Pass Accuracy 70%
55 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Ayutthaya United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United beat Ayutthaya United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 73% of the ball to Ayutthaya United's 27%, shots finished 33-3, expected goals 4.03 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Buriram United and 0.50 for Ayutthaya United.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Ayutthaya United?

Buriram United 2-0 Ayutthaya United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 75%, draw 16%, Ayutthaya United 8%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5
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