Ayutthaya United 1-4 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
68%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-1.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
68%
Away Win
67%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +61%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
Crosses 21.3
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayutthaya United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Buriram United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2025 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 0-3 HT 0-2 Buriram United Buriram United HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayutthaya United
1-4
AWAY Buriram United
0.51 xG 2.58
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
297 Passes 489
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ayutthaya United vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United cruised past Ayutthaya United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ayutthaya United had 40% of the ball to Buriram United's 60%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.51 to 2.58.

What was the final score of Ayutthaya United vs Buriram United?

Ayutthaya United 1-4 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayutthaya United vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Ayutthaya United 13%, draw 20%, Buriram United 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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