Rayong FC 2-1 Uthai Thani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.43/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.87
+32% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.0 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Uthai Thani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.80 xG 0.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
204 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Rayong FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
15.09.2024 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 3-1 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
05.02.2023 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY1
18.09.2022 Rayong FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
2-1
AWAY Uthai Thani
1.88 xG 0.62
73% Ball Possession 27%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
375 Passes 105
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC edged past Uthai Thani 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rayong FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayong FC had 73% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 27%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.88 to 0.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rayong FC's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uthai Thani led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayong FC and 1.75 for Uthai Thani.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani?

Rayong FC 2-1 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 48%, draw 23%, Uthai Thani 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayong FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayong FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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