Uthai Thani 3-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-68% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uthai Thani
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayong FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2023 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY1
18.09.2022 Rayong FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uthai Thani
3-1
AWAY Rayong FC
0.76 xG 1.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
371 Passes 165
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uthai Thani saw off Rayong FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uthai Thani as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Uthai Thani had 60% of the ball to Rayong FC's 40%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.76 to 1.29 — on chances, Rayong FC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uthai Thani and 0.50 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC?

Uthai Thani 3-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Uthai Thani 43%, draw 28%, Rayong FC 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uthai Thani), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uthai Thani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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