Prachuap 1-0 Khonkaen Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.57/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.42
+4% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.4 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 Passes 242
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 4-3 HT 1-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
02.04.2023 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 0-3 HT 0-2 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
29.10.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-1 HT 0-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
09.01.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 0-1 HT 0-1 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
1-0
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
2.53 xG 0.61
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 5
306 Passes 113
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
40 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Khonkaen Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap squeezed past Khonkaen Utd 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 68% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 32%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.53 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Prachuap's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Khonkaen Utd led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Prachuap and 1.50 for Khonkaen Utd.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Khonkaen Utd?

Prachuap 1-0 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Khonkaen Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 57%, draw 23%, Khonkaen Utd 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Prachuap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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