Muang Thong United 4-2 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 17%
+19% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.88/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.73
+35% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
15.1 Crosses 19.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sukhothai
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.86 xG 0.59
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
489 Passes 216
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 5-0 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
04.02.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
04.09.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-0 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
4-2
AWAY Sukhothai
1.92 xG 1.20
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
387 Passes 177
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United saw off Sukhothai 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 65% of the ball to Sukhothai's 35%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.92 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Muang Thong United and 0.67 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Sukhothai?

Muang Thong United 4-2 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 60%, draw 22%, Sukhothai 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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