Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
41%
-10.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.54/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.98
-4% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +71%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.5 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
235 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
29.01.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
28.08.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1-0
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.30 xG 1.02
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
193 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior squeezed past Ratchaburi 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ratchaburi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 34% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 66%, shots finished 4-7, expected goals 0.30 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ratchaburi.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 1.33 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi?

Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 31%, draw 28%, Ratchaburi 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ratchaburi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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