Muang Thong United 5-0 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.5
No
59%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
62%
-21.0pp
59%
BTTS No
38%
+21.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.14/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.12
+55% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.8 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 0.69
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
511 Passes 180
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
04.09.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-0 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
5-0
AWAY Sukhothai
3.38 xG 0.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
444 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United swept aside Sukhothai 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 60% of the ball to Sukhothai's 40%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 3.38 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.00 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Sukhothai?

Muang Thong United 5-0 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 52%, draw 19%, Sukhothai 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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