Nakhon Pathom 0-2 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.3pp
53%
Away Win
70%
-17.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 75%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.04/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.82
+150% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +81%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
194 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 80%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
11.0 Crosses 19.8
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0-2
AWAY Buriram United
0.43 xG 2.13
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
211 Passes 477
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United got the better of Nakhon Pathom 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 34% of the ball to Buriram United's 66%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.43 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Buriram United?

Nakhon Pathom 0-2 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 21%, draw 26%, Buriram United 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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