Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ratchaburi v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Ratchaburi
TAY
3-0
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-1
BG Pathum United
TAY
Ratchaburi 0-1 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United nicked a narrow win over Ratchaburi 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; BG Pathum United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ratchaburi had 49% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 51%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.41 to 0.47 — on chances, Ratchaburi could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?
Ratchaburi 0-1 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 39%, draw 24%, BG Pathum United 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ratchaburi) went the other way.