Police Tero 0-0 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.03
Over 2.5
37%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
38%
-8.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
45%
+17.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
55%
-17.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police Tero EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.95/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.03
-33% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
17.7 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police Tero
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
239 Passes 275
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 1-0 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
29.01.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
30.10.2021 Police Tero Police Tero 3-2 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police Tero
0-0
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.65 xG 0.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
339 Passes 271
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 5
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Police Tero vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police Tero and Chiangrai United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Police Tero at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Police Tero had 55% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 45%, shots finished 18-1, expected goals 0.65 to 0.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Police Tero and 1.00 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Police Tero vs Chiangrai United?

Police Tero 0-0 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police Tero vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police Tero win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Police Tero 41%, draw 30%, Chiangrai United 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Police Tero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police Tero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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