Chonburi 1-1 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

Chonburi
1-1 HT 0-0
Prachuap
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Chonburi vs Prachuap Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chonburi v Prachuap — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chonburi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 39%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
0.94/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.10
-40% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.9 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chonburi vs Prachuap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chonburi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Prachuap
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Chonburi Chonburi 1-1 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
15.12.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 3-1 HT 2-1 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
11.02.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 3-1 HT 2-1 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
10.09.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 1-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
10.04.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 2-1 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
10.11.2021 Prachuap Prachuap 1-2 HT 0-1 Chonburi Chonburi TAY

Chonburi 1-1 Prachuap — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chonburi
1-1
AWAY Prachuap
0.74 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
324 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chonburi vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chonburi and Prachuap couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chonburi had 52% of the ball to Prachuap's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.74 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chonburi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chonburi and 1.50 for Prachuap.

What was the final score of Chonburi vs Prachuap?

Chonburi 1-1 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chonburi vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chonburi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chonburi 38%, draw 27%, Prachuap 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chonburi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chonburi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
27 Sep 2025
13:00 Ayutthaya United vs Buriram United Analysis →
14:30 Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani Analysis →
15:30 Kanchanaburi vs Lamphun Warrior Analysis →